Our main focus is the analysis of macroeconomic factors that impact on the largest economic regions or areas.
We organise our economic research by the following topics:
This section provides links to our research output that is related to the US Economy.
We also publish other shorter pieces of research that investigate specific topics or data releases. These are complementary to the full US Economy outlook and typically provide early indicators for upcoming changes in economic activity.
ECI Reports. These reports use our proprietary Early Cycle Indicators (ECIs) that let us understand the current stage of the business cycle and anticipate future economic changes.
Featured! Package: US Economy Outlook 2026
US Real Estate
Under this research sector we provide research output that is related to the US Real Estate market. We focus on macroeconomic factors/variables that tend to affect the overall housing market which is also intimately linked to the US Economy.
Examples of topics of our real estate reports are:
Analysis of homebuilding.
Analysis of home sales and affordability.
Analysis of housing and rent inflation.
Analysis of macro factors: interest rates, relative prices and demographic trends.
Tailored Macroeconomic and Demographic Research
Global macroeconomic research targets topic that are related to the global economy. We use research tools and a diversity of factors/variables that impact different economic variables. As an example, we use our proprietary demographic projections software to gain insights into the secular trends affecting different economies and most importantly, inflection points which are typically accompanied by economic crisis and the transition to a different regime.
We produce research reports on macroeconomic topics that we believe are important due to their impact and release them in a timely manner so that our clients can anticipate and navigate successfully the risks and opportunities. Most times, at the time of releasing these reports, the findings are in stark opposition to prevailing consensus, but with time those insights tend to manifest into economic conundrums.
In addition, we also produce tailored research on demographics of different regions/countries. Please contact us through our support email: support@phinancetechnologies.com.
Examples of topics of our macroeconomic reports are:
Asia: China, Japan and Korea.
Reports on individual emerging economies or regions.
Individual demographic reports.
We ask (and answer) questions such as:
Can we anticipate real estate and economic crisis in different economies?
If so when are these problems most likely to surface?
And what are the likely opportunities after the crisis occurs?
Inflation Research (US centered)
Having warned in 2021 and 2022 that persistent inflation going forward was a real risk, after the extreme
policy actions by the Fed, from 2023, the tightening of monetary policy and the decline in M2 led us to believe that disinflationary forces were the main risk.
However, we also believe that in the longer-term, inflation will the the greatest risk facing investors portfolios. Investors will be riding an inflation roller coaster, characterised by periods of high inflation interlaced with periods of disinflation and some short episodes deflationary scares.
The energy shock that started in March 2026, resulting from the closure of the strait of Hormuz is an example of an extra confounding factor to the already complex problem of getting a handle on inflation. If energy shocks are severe or long lasting, they could lead to recessions and monetary policy intervention, but if short lived, these energy shocks will only become a confounder towards discovering real underlying inflation trends.
In addition, we also produce tailored research on inflation which are designed to answer particular questions. If you have such questions and need us to investigate, please contact us through our support email: support@phinancetechnologies.com.
Examples of topics of our macroeconomic reports are:
Inflation expectations (mid-term, 6m to 15m)
Short-term inflation changes (oil shocks, etc).
Inflation reports (with scenarios).
Central bank monitoring reports.
Examples of our ongoing inflation dashboards:
Inflation expectations dashboards (EIIs)
Oil shocks and short-term dashboards.
Inflation dashboards.
Central bank monitoring dashboards.
In addition, we also produce tailored research on inflation which are designed to answer particular questions. If you have such questions and need us to investigate, please contact us through our support email: support@phinancetechnologies.com.
We answer questions such as:
Can we anticipate inflation changes at different time scales?
Are ongoing inflation shocks temporary (external shock) or of monetary nature?
Are deflationary forces stronger than inflationary? How do they interact?
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