-> Real GDP growth has two components: Productivity growth and demographic growth. With declining demographics in the developed countries investors need to find growth elsewhere.
-> In his book "Economic Cycles, Debt and Demographics", Carlos Alegria explains the demographic trends in the coming decades and its implications across the globe. It includes warnings on China's and Korea's demographic busts, to Japan's second demographic bust, in Asia; to countries in South America with positive demographics outlooks. With the right insights, investors can avoid being blindsided by secular macroeconomic trends resulting from demographic changes.
-> Check out the book here: Book Website
Reliable demographics
Plot the demographic profiles for the country of choice in our sample chart below.
The data up to 2020 correspond to population estimates from the UN population division, based on census data for each country.
With our premium service you will be able to compare the profiles for two different years from 1950 to 2050, perform simulations by age groups and compare UN projections with our internal projections.
Our standard demographic reports are produced using the following assumptions:
------ Fertility rates will remain the same as in the average of the previous 5 years.
------ Death rates by age group will remain the same as in the average of the previous 5 years.
------ Net Migration rates will remain the same as in the average of the previous 5 years.
Custom reports on demand...
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